Comprehensive Battlefront Breakdown: A Strategic Look at Every Front

In this report, I will overview the most significant changes over the past few days along the entire frontline. This time, we focus on developments in the Kursk, Liman, Chasiv Yar, Pokrovsk, and Velyka Novosilka directions.

In the Kursk region, the situation remains fundamentally stable. The most intense fighting continues in the northern area, where Russian forces aim to cut the road between Novoivanovka and Malaya Loknya and compromise the presence of Ukrainian troops further north. The deployment of North Korean troops has been a failure in every sense, particularly given the exorbitant number of North Korean casualties compared to the almost nonexistent objectives achieved. Furthermore, recent reports indicate that Ukrainian forces successfully counterattacked south of Kruglenkoe, regaining control of a large area near the road from Novoivanovka to Malaya Loknya.

In summary, the situation in Kursk remains mostly stable. The North Korean gamble has not paid off, and the Russian offensive shows clear signs of falling flat. For now, it is expected that Ukrainian forces can continue to hold the bulk of the salient effectively.

Moving to the Liman direction, Russian forces have reactivated their offensive here, renewing attempts to advance on Terny. The Russian objective is to push Ukrainian forces out of their bridgehead east of the Zherebets River, which would then allow them to advance toward Liman, a crucial logistical and communications hub known as the “Gateway to the Donbas.” Slight Russian gains have been reported in their advance on Terny from the north, but their overstretched logistical routes heavily constrain their efforts on the front line.

Overall, the limited Russian resources and their severely restricted logistical capabilities have prevented significant advances here, allowing Ukrainian forces to maintain the bridgehead and, consequently, keep the danger of a collapse of defensive lines protecting Liman at bay.

Further south, in the Chasiv Yar direction, the situation presents mixed news. The battle for this town remains intense, as Russian forces consider it critical as an elevated area necessary for their advance across the Donetsk oblast, particularly toward the cities of Kramatorsk and Sloviansk. Ukrainian forces have managed to hold onto their recent capture of the Refractory Plant, from which they expelled Russian airborne forces, demonstrating an adequate level of manpower and supplies in this direction. However, recent reports indicate that Russian forces have advanced through low-rise residential areas just north of the refractory plant, potentially signaling an intent to encircle the plant from the north, avoiding the greater difficulties encountered in the central area.

Overall, the situation in Chasiv Yar remains stable, with gains by both sides in recent days and no immediate risk of a Ukrainian defensive collapse here.

Turning to Pokrovsk, the situation remains fundamentally stable after Ukrainian forces managed to halt the Russian advance here, which had become Russia’s top priority along the entire front line. Pokrovsk is the main communications and logistical hub sustaining defensive forces in this region. Ukrainian forces have established a very robust defensive line south of the city, prompting Russian efforts to concentrate on the western part of their advance. Their clear intention is to cut at least one supply route and semi-encircle Pokrovsk from the west. Marginal Russian advances have been reported toward Uspenivka and in the tree lines south of this settlement.

In summary, Russian pressure on Pokrovsk remains high, with a significant numerical advantage in personnel. After the Ukrainian success in halting southern advances, it remains to be seen whether Ukrainian defensive efforts will prove equally effective against expected Russian attacks from the southwest.

Finally, we move to the Velyka Novosilka area, where Ukrainian forces hold the town but face a critical situation. Russian forces threaten to encircle the town and have succeeded in cutting the two logistical routes that supplied it. Velyka Novosilka is vital for Ukraine, as it anchors the western end of the southern double defensive line. Its loss would also open the door to extending the war into a whole new region: Dnipropetrovsk.

In summary, while no significant territorial changes have been reported in recent days around Velyka Novosilka, Russian forces are already at the town’s doorstep. Intense fighting is expected in the coming days, either through a Russian attempt at urban assault or continued efforts to complete the encirclement of the town.

Overall, while certain sectors provide reasons for cautious optimism, others demand urgent attention to prevent significant setbacks. The Kursk and Liman directions demonstrate stability and signs of Ukrainian resilience against limited Russian advances. In Chasiv Yar and Pokrovsk, both sides experience gains and losses, with no immediate signs of a defensive collapse. However, the situation in Velyka Novosilka is precarious, as Russian forces approach a critical juncture, threatening to encircle the area. 

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